The future of the left since 1884

The Final Furlong: What do the public want from the next election?

Share

Almost four years on from Labour’s historic defeat in 2019, the party is now on the brink of power. There is an increasing expectation amongst the public that Labour will win the next election, and make the rare transition from opposition to majority government for the first time in 27 years. Opinion polls conducted over the last 12 months have increased expectations, suggesting that Labour is indeed on track to secure an overall majority. In spite of this evidence, there has been media speculation about a hung parliament and deals between political parties.

In response, the Fabian Society undertook research during summer 2023 to understand voters’ preferred election outcomes and their reactions to the prospect of a hung parliament. We particularly focused on ‘target voters’, or those who did not vote Labour in 2019 but who are considering the party at the next election. Our research suggests that, as we head into the final furlong, Labour can be cautiously optimistic about the next election. The voters the party needs to win outright are on the party’s side, ready for change and eager for a Labour majority. Journalists and observers should take note: the British public want a single party majority government and many will vote for Labour to deliver it.

 

Download now

Ben Cooper

Ben is a senior researcher at the Fabian Society.

@BenCooper1995

Eloise Sacares

Eloise Sacares is a researcher for the Fabian Society.

@politiceIIe

Our publications

View All

Plans for Power

Fabian ideas for transforming Britain

This pamphlet is a compilation of some of the most important ideas developed and championed by the Fabian Society in recent years. It is a ‘mixtape’ of the best proposals, from early years to pensions and from the future of work to public service ref...

Read more

A good life in all regions

Uniting our country to end poverty

The report of the Fabian Society's Commission on Regional Poverty and Inequality concludes that the UK has two major regional economy challenges – ‘low growth’ outside the south east, where places lack good jobs; and ‘overheating’ in the capital, whe...

Read more

Lawful and fair

Building a better migration system

In this pamphlet, Will Somerville and Sarah Mulley set out robust proposals to reform our migration system. They argue that it must be based on sound principles: it must be fair, it must be grounded in democratic consent, and it must respect people’s...

Read more

Support guaranteed

The roadmap to a National Care Service

Plans for a National Care Service for England were first presented 13 years ago in the dying days of the last Labour government. Since then no detailed work has taken place to flesh out what the service might look like or how it should be implemented...

Read more

Britain Reconnected

A foreign policy for security and prosperity at home

In this publication, David Lammy MP identifies the major geopolitical trends that will shape the UK's place in the world, and sets out the next Labour government’s approach to foreign policy

Read more

Healthy Britain

A new approach to health and wellbeing policy

Kim Leadbeater MP sets out a new, comprehensive strategy for improving the UK's health and wellbeing.

Read more

Green and Pleasant

Rebuilding rural Britain

An essay collection exploring the challenges faced by rural and coastal communities and how Labour should respond to them.

Read more

Reclaiming freedom

The case for a 21st century bill of powers and duties

In this pamphlet, Liam Byrne MP calls for Labour to make freedom its defining cause once again

Read more

Breaching the Sea Wall

Polling Labour's support in coastal towns

This briefing develops a new constituency grouping based on town and coastal geography: the 'Sea Wall'.

Read more

Levelling up?

Lessons from Germany

This report sets out the lessons which can be learned from Germany on rebalancing regional growth

Read more

The equality question

Why Labour should re-embrace its egalitarian roots

Our new pamphlet makes the case for the fight against inequality to be a core mission for Labour.

Read more

Enduring values

How progressives across Europe can win

An essay collection exploring the progressive values which can connect with voters in the UK and the EU.

Read more

A national music service

HOW TO ENSURE EVERY CHILD CAN ACCESS A GOOD MUSIC EDUCATION

Our new report argues for the government to introduce a National Music Education Service

Read more

Equipped for the future

A vision for adult skills and training

In our latest collection, we bring together business leaders, policy experts, politicians, trade unionists and practitioners to develop a new vision for adult skills policy ahead of the next general election

Read more

A mature approach

How Labour can reconnect with older voters

Fabian Society research suggests 2 million older voters who did not support Labour in 2019 would consider doing so now.

Read more

Fabian membership

Join the Fabian Society today and help shape the future of the left

You’ll receive the quarterly Fabian Review and at least four reports or pamphlets each year sent to your door

Be a part of the debate at Fabian conferences and events and join one of our network of local Fabian societies

Join the Fabian Society
Fabian Society

By continuing to use the site, you agree to the use of cookies. more information

The cookie settings on this website are set to "allow cookies" to give you the best browsing experience possible. If you continue to use this website without changing your cookie settings or you click "Accept" below then you are consenting to this.

Close